Posts

COT Proxy Silver Vs ETFS Physical Silver Shares

Image
Commitments of Traders Proxy Silver Vs ETFS Physical Silver Shares We have looked at how the prices of the Silver ETF move in relative to CFTC Commitments of Traders report. We now look at the COT Proxy. The relation is more obvious. The green line is the trigger for the COT Proxy. Anything above we go long, anything below we go short. The COT Proxy gave us the signal to go long on 23 August 2010 at the closing price of 19.03 and exit signal given on 27 June 2011 at the closing price of 33.66 (based on weekly charts).

Commitment of Traders Report Silver Vs ETFS Physical Silver Shares

Image
Commitment of Traders Report Silver Vs ETFS Physical Silver Shares Chart I thought it might be interesting to impose the chart of the COT Silver Chart against a relevant instrument. We will take the ETFS Physical Silver Shares (SIVR) as the example. Do you see any correlation? It isn't that obvious isn't it? For those not familiar with ETFs, it is an access for those interested in trading or investing in Silver. The ETF try to mimic the movement of Silver prices. How exactly they do it, I am not really sure. There have been some problems with some ETFs. In some cases, the prices do not correlate with the underlying real instrument themselves / industries themselves.

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - 10 Year U.S Treasury Notes - Chicago Board of Trade - 20 March 2012

Image
Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - 10 Year U.S Treasury Notes - Chicago Board of Trade - 20 March 2012 A major divergence can be seen between the commercials and the large speculators and prices have edged up for the 10 year notes. Good time to go long?

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Gold - Commodity Exchange Inc - 20 March 2012

Image
Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Gold - Commodity Exchange Inc - 20 March 2012 Gold has been range-bound after hitting the top. Commercials are still net short, only about 30% of them are taking long positions. However the numbers taking long positions are increasing compared to previous weeks.

Lynas Corporation - Rare Earths Radiation Concerns in Malaysia - ASX

Image
Lynas Corporation - ASX - COT Proxy This will be the first time I am covering stocks on the Australian Stock Exchange (ASX). How could I have not covered them all this while? Let's take a look at Lynas Corporation. This is an interesting company. Just a little background, this is actually a mine to market integrated rare earths mining company in Australia. Their mine is in Mount Weld, Western Australia. Their processing plant where they refine the rare earths deposits is in Gebeng, Kuantan - Malaysia. The locals and opposition parties are rallying (they call themselves the "Green Movement") against the plant which is also called the Advanced Materials Processing Plant because of the emission of radiation into the environment. The plant promises to be one of the biggest plants in the world to process rare earths outside of China. This will serve to break the monopoly of the Chinese for these rare earths. The commercials aka big boys are net short since 17 Septe...

Tianma Microelectronics - Shenzhen Stock Exchange - SZSE

Image
Tianma Microelectronics - Shenzhen Stock Exchange - SZSE We shall look at this Shenzhen listed stock in China. They are involved in the design and manufacturing of LCD and LCM products. Commercials are still short on this one. What is happening in the LCD market? Just heard that Samsung is going to spin off its LCD business? Probably competition from Chinese companies like this force them to do so.

Osim - SGX

Image
Osim - SGX - COT Proxy I would define this company as a value-added health product. Need massage chairs, belly vibrators? Think Osim. The commercials are moving into being net long and prices are moving higher. Time to go U-Long?