Uncle Ti 88

Hi All, I guess below is self-explanatory. I am not sure even if this guy is legit. Anyway better be safe than sorry. ---------------- The message: trader811 October 2013 22:26  Hey guys my COT Proxy index is a proprietary tool. i took me years of reassearch and heartache to develop, If you insist on giving away the formula you leave me no choice but to sue. Please stop...this is just not fair.  larry williams My reply: Uncle Ti 8816 October 2013 15:16  We are not giving away the formula, this site is merely providing an overview of the index by sharing examples. Anyway we are no longer going to post anything to do with the cot proxy index anymore. ---------------- I am going to now go into another alternative where we can gauge the real interest of some of the big boys. What better to follow than the real insiders...

Commitments of Traders Proxy Silver Vs ETFS Physical Silver Shares We have looked at how the prices of the Silver ETF move in relative to CFTC Commitments of Traders report. We now look at the COT Proxy. The relation is more obvious. The green line is the trigger for the COT Proxy. Anything above we go long, anything below we go short. The COT Proxy gave us the signal to go long on 23 August 2010 at the closing price of 19.03 and exit signal given on 27 June 2011 at the closing price of 33.66 (based on weekly charts).

If you are interested to know more the basics of of the Commitments of Traders Report (COT Proxy) you can visit Larry's website here http://www.ireallytrade.com/ or straight to the COT Proxy page here http://www.ireallytrade.com/cotreport.html

Wilmar - SGX Lets see what Wilmar has been up to. China has allowed suppliers to raise the price of cooking oil and Wilmar has done just that. Prices will rise about 5%. Wilmar is the largest owner of branded packaged edible oils in China with a market share of about 45%. Good news? Still the prices are retreating due to massive sell-off. However do take note that the commercials are still net long!

What a week last week has been. The big sell-off seems to continue till today's asian trading session. A lot of news and noise have been coming in. 1) Raising of US debt ceiling 2) Standard and Poor's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating 3) Concerns on Euro's debt crisis 4) Many more! Let us cut all these noise and see what the commercials (COT Proxy) are doing!

F&N - COT Proxy Here we shall see what signal the COT Proxy gives us. Long signal was given at 5.72 and a short/exit signal at 5.85. Not much of a profit there but is is indeed better than a loss!

SBS Transit COT Proxy Hit a high of 2.15 in January this year and moving back to 1.9. Good level to enter long now and the "big players" had been long for quite some time now. Quite defensive and moving up slowly and steadily.

Ever wonder which country's economy is in an uptrend or downtrend? Want to know if investors are putting in hot money or pulling them out of the country? If you have this information, you can better allocate your capital especially if you hold stocks in various countries. You follow what the "big investors" do and try to reap in the rewards. In this series we will look at the market performance of the South-East Asian countries. We start off with Vietnam. Vietnam's economy is one of the underperformers in South-East Asia, while the rest (Singapore, Malaysia) are experiencing somewhat of a bull run. Vietnam has lagged quite a bit. How can you play Vietnam's stock market? 1) For foreign private investors you will have to fly into Vietnam and open a local brokerage account pending approval. 2) or play the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF. We will look at the 2nd option which is accessible to all!

SATS - COT Proxy Got stopped out after the COT Proxy level hit selling territory on daily charts (bought in at 2.67). Looking now for the buy signal to re-enter. Strong upward trend expected if price hit 2.70, will re-enter at this price. If this fails, price might be going down further.

CapitaMall One of few stocks that just signalled a buy this week @ 1.91. There is time to get into this long trade as the train has not left the station!

  Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd - COT Proxy A defensive stock that mom and pops like to have. But is it a good time to load up on the stock? Starting of a downtrend...

Euro FX COT Report vs COT Proxy Look at that! The EUR/USD chart with the Euro FX COT Report in the middle chart and the COT Proxy chart in the last row. The COT Proxy match the COT Report! (The commercials for Euro FX are in green and speculators in red). And the best thing is it gave earlier signals and smoother chart than the real COT Report! We can trade it straight off the Proxy instead of the real COT! We will look at some more charts before we apply it for stocks in SGX!

Now what do we do about other instruments that do not have the Commitments of Traders Report released like stocks, ETFs, etc? We can create our very own proxy! With this proxy you can see what the "commercials and speculators" are doing for stocks, ETFs and CFDs. I got to know about COT proxy when I attended Larry Williams trading course in Australia many years ago. Immediately saw the power of using it for trading any instruments without the real COT report. Now the question comes, how can we be certain the COT Proxy works exactly or closely as the real COT Report? To test this we have to compare it from the real COT to the COT Proxy in a side by side comparison. The move must be in unison. Let's see it in the next post!