Uncle Ti 88

Alstom - Euronext Paris - Stock Chart - COT Proxy Turbines, trains... a competitor to Siemens. Bon Jour... another French stock. Main trend is down, had a few false bull breakout and it starts to go down. Commercials are still net short on this one.

EADS - Euronext Paris - Stock Chart - COT Proxy Thinking of security, weapons, airplanes much? This chart is for my many French "visitors". I don't know who you are but you guys seem to like my blog so much that I get so many hits from you.... If you are looking at French stocks trading on Euronext Paris, this is one. Commercials been long on this one since Mid 2010! It is still rising while many other European stocks are taking a beating!

JES International Holdings SGX - COT Proxy - Time to Buy? I received a request to do a COT Proxy on a SGX stock JES International. This company operates a shipyard in China. I would normally avoid S-Chips stocks (China stocks that are listed in Singapore's SGX) but we will take a look at this anyway. The price have surged last week from the low of 0.145. The commercials have been right so far in this stock. As you can see when they buy price goes up and when they sell price goes down. However you can also see that they are sometimes too early or a little too late. This time the price has gone up but they are still net short. They might seem to be late to go into the buying or probably they think it might be a false bull run and they will maintain their short position...

I will like to wish everyone a HAPPY LUNAR NEW YEAR! 

Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA Commitments of Traders Chart We have been looking at commercials all these while and how their trading positions affect prices or sometimes how prices affect their trading decisions. It will be interesting to see how the non-commercials or specialists as some call them behave in relation to market prices. Look at the bottom of the DJIA at around 11000. The non-commercials are flipping to being net short but their numbers turned bullish and the DJIA bounced from that level to start the current rally.

British Sky Broadcasting Group LSE - Commitments of Traders COT Proxy Judging by the Commitments of Traders Proxy (COT Proxy), the commercials are turning to be net short since December 2011. Going into 2012, looks like it is a good time to short British Sky Stock. Note: Commitments of Traders Report are only available for futures contracts. For other instruments that do not have the COT Report, we use a proxy to simulate the real COT report. We are able to see what positions the big boys aka commercials are taking. For a detail explanation please visit these links in the order of: 1) Power of COT Report and COT Proxy 2) COT Proxy! 3) Euro FX COT Report vs COT Proxy 4) US Dollar Index COT Report vs COT Proxy 5) COT Proxy for Stocks 6) Example: Neptune Orient Lines - NOL - SGX

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - Platinum - 3 January 2012 Spot Platinum has hit a 4-week high. Long-term outlook is still bullish but we can see that the commercials are decreasing their net short position. After making the high, the price of Platinum might be in for a correction. We shall see if there are any extreme changes for the 10 January 2012 Commitments of Traders Report that will be released on Friday 13 January 2012... Friday the 13th.........

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - British Pound GBP/USD - 3 January 2012 The british pound was in short-lived rally in October last year. The sellers then took control. The COT numbers released last week shows the short is losing strength. Stand-by to go long if the commercials and speculators starts to flip.

Natural Gas - NYME - COT - 3 January 2012 Where is natural gas heading? One word, DOWN! Natural gas prices has been falling since its peak in 2008. The commercials and specialists have been taking that trade ever since. If we can't go long and buy, we will sell short. How do you short natural gas if you are not trading futures? You can look into ETFs or funds. One will be the United States Natural Gas Fund, LP (UNG).

Commitments of Traders Report COT CFTC - Australian Dollar - 3 January 2012 The chart above is based on the Commitments of Traders reports released by the CFTC and it is not the COT Proxy. The signal is still to go long on the Australian Dollar. For forex traders, you might want to consider going long on the AUD/USD. As you can see the long signal was in play since 15 March 2009. This is one of the best currencies to invest in for 2012 (long) based on the current COT report.

Here are the list of stocks for SGX that the commercials are shorting: 1) Wilmar 2) UOB 3) UOL 4) Ascendas REIT 5) Cosco Corp 6) DBS 7) Genting 8) Keppel Land 9) Olam 10) SembMarine 11) SGX 12) SIA And many, many more!

Let's start off 2012 with a bang! Let us see which of the stocks we should buy in accordance to the commitments of traders proxy. What are the big boys aka the commercials buying? We shall look at some of the Singapore stocks listed on the Singapore Exchange SGX first! Commercials are buying : 1) ComfortDelGro 2) F&N 3) Golden Agri 4) Jardine C&C 5) SingTel 6) Starhub If you are looking for stocks that the commercials are shorting in SGX, well you will be spoilt for choice!

I wish all my readers a Happy New Year!