Uncle Ti 88

S&P 500 Stock Index - Chicago Mercantile Exchange     Where is the US market heading especially the S&P 500? The commercials are net long and large speculators are net short. See the chart above derived from the Commitments of Traders report by CFTC - Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

Ellipsiz - COT Proxy One of the counters that has the commercials still on the long side, and since June 2011 at that... so one of the stronger counters to brave all this selling...

Epicenter - COT Proxy Just thought of Steve Job leaving Apple, what effect it will be on Epicentre's price...

Commitments of Traders COT CFTC - Gold Where is gold heading? Through the roof! There is no let up by both the commercials and speculators since 2002!

Commitments of Traders CFTC - EUR/USD Please not the above chart is the real COT report released by CFTC and it is not the COT Proxy. The EUR/USD have no proper direction in the last 2 weeks. Euro debt, US debt... both bad news hence even the commercials no have no idea what to do. The week prior to 16 August they are net long but last week they were net short. We see what the report release tomorrow will reveal for this week's positions. If the commercials for Euro are net short again this week, we can expect the EUR/USD go up.

If you are interested to know more the basics of of the Commitments of Traders Report (COT Proxy) you can visit Larry's website here http://www.ireallytrade.com/ or straight to the COT Proxy page here http://www.ireallytrade.com/cotreport.html

Ascendas REIT - COT Proxy In July 2011, they said they were giving 3.2 Singapore cents per unit for the three months ended March 31 2011, compared with 3.37 cents a year earlier. The commercials are selling, however price have been going up. A bear trap?

Midas Holdings Limited The commercials are net short. Although 2Q11 revenues are within expectations, they missed on earnings.

Kateks (Malay for short) aka Shortist will be banned from Friday in Belgium, France, Italy and Spain to so called combat "false rumours" that have caused the fall in the markets. This according to the European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA).

Petrochina - HKSE Petrochina have a sell signal on Aug 2, 2011. The commercials are net short since then. Missed that signal and only closed the position today at a lost. It is hard to keep track of all the holdings manually. My method is to scan the charts individually to see the signal. Anyone familiar with Ninjatrader and can program an automated stock scanner?

Samko -SGX Commercials are net short Samko. After flying high for the last few months, the time has come...

Red Among the Greens Odd one out?

Something to read about Sheng Siong IPO

Stop-loss are important in every trade... however not many people use them. Image taken from this guy: hooliwang

Cerebos - SGX Essence of chicken anyone?

Capitaland - SGX Commercials are selling and fast. Main downtrend started early this year.

SGX - COT Proxy Past few examples we see the commercials are accumulating even when the prices are falling. But which stocks are the commercials avoiding even when prices are "dirt cheap"? See the chart... SGX! Price falls and commercials are net short!

F&N - SGX Prices are falling and commercials are still net long! Who do we trust? Price or the commercials? Note : Remember that the commercials are not short-term speculators, they do not care what the prices are as they are in for the long-term. They load up more as prices keep on falling. To them it might be a bargain. They do have the resources to stomach the so called paper losses. For smaller investors the decline might be too hard for them handle ie. margin calls, psychology, etc.

Wilmar - SGX Lets see what Wilmar has been up to. China has allowed suppliers to raise the price of cooking oil and Wilmar has done just that. Prices will rise about 5%. Wilmar is the largest owner of branded packaged edible oils in China with a market share of about 45%. Good news? Still the prices are retreating due to massive sell-off. However do take note that the commercials are still net long!

SIA - SGX In July we saw the signal signal to go long as the commercials are loading up on the stock. Straight away in August we are seeing a huge drop in the prices. Do note that SIA has just given out its dividends. This selling could be because everyone is selling the stock after the dividend has been given and also what has been going on around in the world. Of course we are not here to analyse the real fundamentals. What we are going to do is just follow the commercials aka big boys. They are still net longs even though the prices have been dropping although the no. of net longs position holders are declining. Remember that the commercials are not short-term speculators, they do not care what the prices are as they are in for the long-term. They load up more as prices keep on falling. To them it might be a bargain. They do have the resources to stomach the so called paper losses. For smaller investors the decline might be too hard for them handle ie. margin calls, psycholog...

What a week last week has been. The big sell-off seems to continue till today's asian trading session. A lot of news and noise have been coming in. 1) Raising of US debt ceiling 2) Standard and Poor's downgrade of the U.S. credit rating 3) Concerns on Euro's debt crisis 4) Many more! Let us cut all these noise and see what the commercials (COT Proxy) are doing!