Monday 26 December 2011

What To Invest or Trade In Now? Free Trading Signals

In addtion to the previous post of Which Currency to Invest In? I will add in from time to time in this blog some other instruments that you can trade or invest in based on the commitment of traders report or commitment of traders COT proxy.

These will give you some trading ideas and save you the hassle of scanning through the whole list of instruments. This will save you time, energy and money. These are provided to you for free. You can choose to use them if you want them to help you in making your trading or investing decisions.

I will be covering various instruments which includes currencies, stocks, commodities, etc. I will cover international stocks also. I will cover both long and short trades.

However please note that while I may give you the entry signal, I may or may not have the time to give you the exit signal. That, you will have to work it on your own if I do not provide them. It is your responsibility to monitor your own portfolio. If you require any help, please contact me.

Please also note that I am not authorised to provide any financial advice, any advice taken by you will be under your own risk and responsibility.

Sunday 25 December 2011

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Silver - Commodity Exchange Inc - 20 December 2011

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Silver - Commodity Exchange Inc - 20 December 2011

Silver has been in an uptrend for quite sometime now. However we can see that the number of commercials net short is decreasing since the middle of this year and the prices have been falling ever since. They are leaning towards being net long. The 50% line is something we need to look out for. If that happens silver prices will fall further and it looks like the downward momentum is gaining steam.

Merry Christmas!

Wishing everyone a Merry Christmas! Enjoy the holidays!

For me I will be working hehe...

Which Currency to Invest In? The Best Currency to Invest In - Here Is The List

Don't want the hassle to go through the Commitment of Traders Report or look through the charts to see which are the best currency to invest in right now? Ok here is a straightforward list applicable in the week starting 25 December 2011 based on last week's Commitment of Traders Report and Commitment of Traders Proxy (20th December 2011).

1) Australian Dollar - Long
2) British Pound Sterling - Short
3) Canadian Dollar - Long
4) Euro FX - Short
5) US Dollar - Long

Singapore Exchange SGX Share Price - Commitment of Traders COT Proxy

Back in June 2011, we looked at the Singapore Exchange (SGX) chart. See link here. The commercials were short since April 2011 and it was recommended not to go long in that period if your risk tolerance is low. Let us see if that was a good recommendation.

Singapore Exchange SGX Share Price - Commitment of Traders COT Proxy

The commercials are still maintaining their net short position. The SGX share price is currently at 6.09. The failed ASX-SGX merger is one of the main headlines that SGX created and what a year it was for SGX in 2011.


Wednesday 21 December 2011

Euro Economic Crisis - Confined to Eurozone or Spreading Global?

News just out that the US markets had a surge of 3% on Tuesday due to:

1) US data showing a surge in new housing start
2) Strong encouraging news on Germany's economy
3) Reports of a Greek deal with private debt holders

Now is this a bear trap? And how does the other economy outside of the US and Eurozone doing?


As of this writing (data from Bloomberg):


TSX : +1.14%
BOLSA : +0.13%
BOVESPA : -0.42%
TA 25 : +1.74%
TOP 40 : +1.08%
NIKKEI : +0.29%
KOSPI : +1.15%
ASX 200 : +0.47%
STI : +0.91%

Tuesday 20 December 2011

EU Asks World to Help Eurozone via IMF - A Bailout?

How bad is the situation in Europe? Well, it looks bad enough that they are asking the world for help. Just days before it looks like there is hope for the EU and now this. Read the Channel NewsAsia link.

One day it is all rosy, next day it is all gloom and doom. News does confuse you doesn't it? Will all these help you in your trading decision? I gave up on all these news releases and just follow what the commercials do.

Of course people tell me that I am a sheep following the herd...



Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - US Dollar Index - 13 December 2011

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - US Dollar Index - 13 December 2011

How would you use the COT US Dollar Index to trade EUR/USD?

Above is the EUR/USD chart along with the COT chart for US Dollar Index (ICE Futures). The commercials are net short of the dollar since reporting date 11 September 2011. The EUR/USD has since gone downhill from there.

Although there were some sort of a bull trap for the EUR/USD as you can see on 23 October 2011, if you have stayed with the commercials you would have avoided going long.

Now the short position is still in play.

Monday 19 December 2011

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Gold - Commodity Exchange Inc - 13 December 2011

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Gold - Commodity Exchange Inc - 13 December 2011

The commercial traders have reduced their net short position in the last few weeks. Look at the gold chart below for XAU/USD. If the trend continues we can expect the price to go down further. Is it just a minor correction or the end of the bull market for gold? Well, we will just follow the commercials for now.

Gold XAUUSD Chart December 2011


Thursday 8 December 2011

Commitment of Traders Report COT CFTC - Euro FX - 29 November 2011

COT Report - Euro FX

The Euro is in a confused state right now. Look at where the Euro is heading and what the commercials are doing. The short has been taking place since the reported date of 11th September 2011!